BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Texas St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 253 Overall: (11-19) Overall Strength =   26.73
Conference: Sunbelt Record: (7-12) | District: 1-02 Record: (9-18)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    L   *  25.38  66  72    1 161 (18-14) Ohio                   -1.34     -4.66                      
 2 11-09-2025 Away    L      26.79  50  83    1  31 (26- 8) Texas Tech              0.07 *  -33.07                      
 3 11-13-2025 Away    L   *  19.00  41  64    1 112 (18-16) Texas-San Antonio      -7.72    -15.28                      
 4 11-17-2025 Home    L   *  14.20  65  77    1 225 (21-14) UTRGV                 -12.52      0.52                      
 5 11-20-2025 Away    W   *  27.68  53  43    1 336 ( 6-23) TAM C. Christi          0.96      9.04                      
 6 11-25-2025 Home    L   *  15.78  45  56    1 217 (13-17) Tarleton St           -10.94     -0.06                      
 7 11-30-2025 Home    W   *  40.78  93  52    1 360 ( 2-28) Prairie View           14.06 *   26.94                      
 8 12-06-2025 Away    L   *  28.33  66  74    1 174 (24-10) SF Austin               1.61     -9.61                      
 9 12-10-2025 Home    W       5.02  64  38   ZZ 184 ( 0- 2) UNT Dallas            -21.70 *   47.70                      
10 12-17-2025 Home    W * *  22.54  62  55    1 314 ( 5-26) Louisiana              -4.18     11.18                      
11 12-20-2025 Home    W * *  42.74  79  69    1 153 (16-16) ULM                    16.02     -6.02                      
12 12-29-2025 Home    W      41.10  95  33   ZZ 183 ( 0- 2) Huston-Tillot          14.37 *   47.63                      
13 01-03-2026 Away    L * *  19.68  52  87    1  48 (26- 9) James Madison          -7.04 *  -27.96                      
14 01-07-2026 Away    L * *  13.42  49  84    1  69 (25- 8) Troy                  -13.30    -21.70                      
15 01-10-2026 Away    W * *  32.92  55  43    1 314 ( 5-26) Louisiana               6.20      5.80                      
16 01-14-2026 Home    L * *  15.70  62  76    1 178 (15-16) Southern Miss         -11.02     -2.98                      
17 01-17-2026 Home    L * *  39.05  63  67    1  69 (25- 8) Troy                   12.33    -16.33                      
18 01-21-2026 Home    W * *  43.39  63  49    1 184 (11-19) Appalachian St         16.67     -2.67                      
19 01-24-2026 Home    W * *  36.60  65  61    1 155 (18-14) Old Dominion            9.88     -5.88                      
20 01-28-2026 Away    L * *   7.62  53  85    1 136 (14-18) Coastal Car           -19.10    -12.90                      
21 01-31-2026 Away    W * *  39.52  68  59    1 237 (10-21) Georgia St             12.80     -3.80                      
22 02-04-2026 Home    L * *  36.85  57  61    1  82 (23- 8) Ga Southern            10.13    -14.13                      
23 02-07-2026 Away    L   *  21.60  69  71    1 300 ( 7-23) Northern Illinois      -5.12      3.12                      
24 02-12-2026 Away    W * *  42.16  69  63    1 176 (17-19) South Alabama          15.44     -9.44                      
25 02-14-2026 Away    L * *  26.07  77  86    1 178 (15-16) Southern Miss          -0.65     -8.35                      
26 02-18-2026 Home    L * *  26.98  61  75    1  86 (27-10) Arkansas St             0.26    -14.26                      
27 02-21-2026 Home    L * *  25.78  59  64    1 176 (17-19) South Alabama          -0.94     -4.06                      
28 02-25-2026 Away    L * *  29.11  74  83    1 153 (16-16) ULM                     2.39    -11.39                      
29 02-27-2026 Away    L * *  12.36  53  87    1  86 (27-10) Arkansas St           -14.36    -19.64                      
30 03-05-2026 Neutral L * *  23.47  59  69    1 176 (17-19) South Alabama          -3.25     -6.75                      
      Averages              26.72  62.9 66.2

Best game:   43.39 = 14 point win over Appalachian St
Worst game:   5.02 = 26 point win over UNT Dallas
Team stdev:  11.02